Reserve Bank makes September 2025 cash rate call

Following last month’s rate cut, find out if the Reserve Bank of Australia has decided to raise, hold, or cut interest rates at its third meeting of the new financial year.

In its August meeting, the board of the Reserve Bank of Australia decided to cut the cash rate by 0.25 per cent, bringing it to 3.6 per cent. Today, it has held the cash rate at its current level.

In a statement, the board said: “There are uncertainties about the outlook for domestic economic activity and inflation stemming from both domestic and international developments. On the domestic side, stronger-than-expected data on growth and inflation may indicate that households have become more comfortable consuming as real incomes and wealth rise. If this continues, it may make it easier for businesses to pass on cost increases and lead to more demand for labour. Alternatively, the recent growth in consumption might not persist, particularly if households become more concerned about overseas developments.”

Uncertainty in the global economy remains elevated, the board continued.

“There is a little more clarity on the scope and scale of US tariffs and policy responses in other countries, suggesting that more extreme outcomes are likely to be avoided. Trade policy developments are nevertheless still expected to have an adverse effect on global economic growth over time. Beyond tariffs, a broader range of geopolitical risks remain a threat to the global economy. This could all weigh on growth in aggregate demand and lead to weaker labour market conditions in the domestic economy,” it said.